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Features and Benefits
The Index indicates a fairly steady improvement in infrastructure financing conditions over the past decade.
The primary objective of the Index is to convey a sense of investment conditions in infra sectors and the ability of the segment to draw in capital funds. Therefore, the Index places inordinate weight on fund flows, which after all, is the ultimate outcome of all the underlying conditions, the efficiency in commissioning projects, the regulatory environment, tax incentives, etc.
Choice of base year: April 2005 is chosen as the base year, with the values of the Index components normalised to 100 for the month. This choice is consistent with many key macroeconomic variables using 2004-05 as their base year.
Determining the weights of Index components: The ABIX is constructed from the above five indicators using principal component analysis (PCA), a standard statistical technique used to reduce the dimensionality of a dataset. In the ABIX, the inputs for PCA are the index series for the five series above. The series are normalized by subtracting the sample mean and dividing by the standard deviation prior to conducting the PCA. The output from the analysis is a single indicator - the ABIX - that is a weighted average of those scores. The weights are chosen to maximize the percentage of variation in the original five components of the ABIX.
Although the overall explanatory power of the PCA is relatively weak, in comparison with norms for such series, we will be attempting to improve performance as the data sets become more robust over time. We have also simulated the effects on the ABIX of various weight combinations, to reflect the rather wide confidence intervals of the component series. These simulations show that the ABIX remains relatively robust to the weighting changes.
To construct the index, normalised scores for each of the component indicators are multiplied by their component loading in the table below and then summed. The component loadings represent the weight accorded to each of the indicators in constructing the index.
Adjusting for inflation
Integrating data across different time scales requires scaling down some components of the infrastructure index in terms of real prices. Fund flows, Capex project costs have been adjusted for inflation using the new WPI (2004-05 prices).
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